Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on April 24 (before the first match) against those on April 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
GuaraniRelegation51.6%18.8%−32.8
ItuanoPromotion33.6%13.7%−19.9
CriciúmaPromotion34.0%14.3%−19.7
BrusqueRelegation29.3%10.1%−19.2
VascoRelegation26.3%9.2%−17.1
ChapecoensePromotion28.7%45.0%+16.2
NovorizontinoRelegation22.3%38.1%+15.8
CRBRelegation36.2%51.1%+14.9
SportPromotion26.6%41.5%+14.9
GrêmioPromotion23.5%38.3%+14.8
Home 37.9%
Draw 27.5%
Away 34.6%
Home 41.4%
Draw 26.5%
Away 32.1%
Home 36.8%
Draw 27.8%
Away 35.4%
Home 35.7%
Draw 27.9%
Away 36.5%
Home 49.2%
Draw 24.4%
Away 26.4%
Home 40.6%
Draw 26.7%
Away 32.7%
Home 32.6%
Draw 26.7%
Away 40.8%
Home 28.0%
Draw 25.0%
Away 47.0%
Home 31.0%
Draw 26.1%
Away 42.9%
Home 35.5%
Draw 27.8%
Away 36.7%