Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 2 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 4 (before the first match) against those on September 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 69.1% | 42.0% | −27.2 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 54.7% | 33.4% | −21.3 |
| Londrina | Promotion | 23.9% | 41.4% | +17.6 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 90.3% | 73.5% | −16.9 |
| Grêmio | Promotion | 76.7% | 90.4% | +13.8 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 54.6% | 67.6% | +13.0 |
| Brusque | Relegation | 35.2% | 46.3% | +11.1 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 26.9% | 37.2% | +10.3 |
| Novorizontino | Relegation | 25.0% | 34.3% | +9.3 |
| Operário-PR | Relegation | 44.1% | 53.4% | +9.3 |