Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Novorizontino beat Grêmio with a 21.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 11 (before the first match) against those on September 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Promotion | 33.4% | 64.4% | +31.0 |
| Operário-PR | Relegation | 53.4% | 76.9% | +23.5 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 37.2% | 15.7% | −21.5 |
| Novorizontino | Relegation | 34.3% | 13.1% | −21.2 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 67.6% | 46.7% | −21.0 |
| CSA | Relegation | 37.5% | 58.2% | +20.7 |
| Brusque | Relegation | 46.3% | 66.6% | +20.3 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 42.0% | 23.5% | −18.5 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 73.5% | 90.2% | +16.7 |
| Londrina | Promotion | 41.4% | 30.7% | −10.7 |
