Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Chapecoense beat Bahia with a 15.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 13 (before the first match) against those on June 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 37.1% | 13.6% | −23.5 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 81.0% | 62.2% | −18.8 |
| Brusque | Relegation | 28.7% | 9.9% | −18.7 |
| Bahia | Champion | 27.7% | 9.0% | −18.7 |
| Grêmio | Promotion | 22.3% | 38.2% | +15.9 |
| Tombense | Promotion | 20.2% | 32.9% | +12.7 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 35.8% | 48.4% | +12.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 43.5% | 55.7% | +12.2 |
| Novorizontino | Relegation | 37.0% | 49.0% | +12.0 |
| Londrina | Promotion | 21.1% | 9.7% | −11.4 |
