Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Ituano beat Brusque with a 21.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 9 (before the first match) against those on June 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano | Relegation | 55.8% | 27.3% | −28.6 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 57.5% | 30.7% | −26.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 68.7% | 43.5% | −25.1 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 21.9% | 37.1% | +15.2 |
| CSA | Relegation | 18.0% | 32.8% | +14.7 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 24.9% | 10.3% | −14.6 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 24.6% | 38.9% | +14.3 |
| CRB | Relegation | 26.3% | 12.1% | −14.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 21.7% | 35.8% | +14.1 |
| Bahia | Champion | 13.9% | 27.7% | +13.8 |
