Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Botafogo-SP with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 20 (before the first match) against those on November 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | Promotion | 32.5% | 94.1% | +61.6 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 59.1% | 0.6% | −58.5 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 12.3% | 67.7% | +55.4 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 63.0% | 10.2% | −52.7 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 47.0% | 99.3% | +52.3 |
| Chapecoense | Champion | 7.5% | 59.2% | +51.7 |
| Botafogo-SP | Relegation | 7.2% | 46.7% | +39.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Promotion | 41.0% | 2.0% | −39.1 |
| Operário-PR | Promotion | 39.1% | 0.9% | −38.2 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 1.2% | 38.7% | +37.5 |
