Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Paraná beat CRB with a 17.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 13 (before the first match) against those on December 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Relegation | 74.1% | 42.1% | −32.0 |
| Cuiabá | Promotion | 26.6% | 51.1% | +24.5 |
| CSA | Promotion | 43.5% | 20.5% | −23.0 |
| América-MG | Champion | 22.8% | 42.7% | +19.9 |
| Chapecoense | Champion | 75.5% | 56.5% | −19.0 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 23.4% | 42.0% | +18.6 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 43.0% | 26.2% | −16.8 |
| CRB | Relegation | 14.5% | 27.9% | +13.5 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 10.8% | 22.5% | +11.7 |
| Operário-PR | Relegation | 9.4% | 2.5% | −6.9 |
