Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Oeste beat Brasil de Pelotas with a 20.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 17 (before the first match) against those on November 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 76.4% | 56.2% | −20.3 |
| Cuiabá | Promotion | 47.1% | 27.2% | −19.9 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 56.8% | 74.4% | +17.7 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 38.3% | 53.2% | +14.9 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Champion | 17.2% | 4.2% | −13.0 |
| Chapecoense | Champion | 65.1% | 77.7% | +12.7 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 17.1% | 26.9% | +9.8 |
| CRB | Promotion | 9.7% | 18.7% | +9.0 |
| CSA | Promotion | 5.7% | 14.0% | +8.3 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 11.1% | 3.2% | −7.9 |
