Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Avaí beat América-MG with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 27 (before the first match) against those on November 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-MG | Champion | 37.8% | 14.1% | −23.7 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 88.8% | 67.7% | −21.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 41.4% | 20.7% | −20.7 |
| Cuiabá | Promotion | 48.0% | 66.3% | +18.2 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 30.2% | 44.8% | +14.6 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 24.1% | 9.7% | −14.4 |
| Chapecoense | Champion | 43.7% | 58.1% | +14.4 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 31.1% | 43.6% | +12.5 |
| CRB | Promotion | 19.5% | 7.3% | −12.1 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 16.4% | 4.4% | −12.0 |
