Round 12

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on September 27 (before the first match) against those on September 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Botafogo-SPRelegation70.6%42.2%−28.4
CruzeiroRelegation56.6%31.3%−25.4
CuiabáPromotion54.6%73.7%+19.1
Ponte PretaPromotion62.3%43.4%−18.9
FigueirenseRelegation25.4%43.6%+18.2
CuiabáChampion17.3%35.2%+18.0
JuventudePromotion14.2%31.1%+16.9
AvaíPromotion7.6%20.1%+12.5
OesteRelegation72.0%84.0%+12.0
VitóriaPromotion26.4%14.8%−11.5
Home 40.0%
Draw 26.9%
Away 33.2%
Home 39.4%
Draw 27.0%
Away 33.6%
Home 37.3%
Draw 27.6%
Away 35.1%
Home 40.2%
Draw 26.8%
Away 33.0%
Home 47.5%
Draw 24.8%
Away 27.7%
Home 27.9%
Draw 24.9%
Away 47.2%
Home 36.4%
Draw 27.9%
Away 35.7%
Home 44.9%
Draw 25.5%
Away 29.6%
Home 32.4%
Draw 26.6%
Away 41.0%
Home 27.7%
Draw 24.8%
Away 47.5%