Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 12 (before the first match) against those on October 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 68.7% | 52.9% | −15.8 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 54.8% | 66.3% | +11.4 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 23.8% | 32.3% | +8.5 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Champion | 91.5% | 83.8% | −7.6 |
| Botafogo-SP | Promotion | 11.1% | 18.7% | +7.6 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 60.7% | 68.0% | +7.3 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 49.7% | 42.5% | −7.2 |
| Sport | Champion | 5.9% | 12.1% | +6.2 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 19.0% | 25.0% | +6.0 |
| São Bento | Relegation | 78.9% | 84.6% | +5.7 |
