Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cuiabá beat Guarani with a 22.7% chance and Londrina beat Vitória with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 16 (before the first match) against those on October 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Londrina | Relegation | 42.5% | 13.7% | −28.7 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 75.8% | 52.8% | −23.0 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 32.3% | 53.5% | +21.2 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 20.8% | 40.1% | +19.3 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 25.0% | 11.7% | −13.3 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 72.8% | 85.4% | +12.7 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 13.0% | 22.8% | +9.8 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 8.4% | 17.7% | +9.3 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 66.3% | 58.1% | −8.2 |
| São Bento | Relegation | 84.6% | 92.3% | +7.7 |
