Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat América-MG with a 17.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 9 (before the first match) against those on October 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Promotion | 33.0% | 54.8% | +21.8 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 44.1% | 22.5% | −21.6 |
| Sport | Promotion | 70.9% | 88.3% | +17.4 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 40.8% | 23.8% | −17.0 |
| São Bento | Relegation | 62.7% | 78.9% | +16.1 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 93.0% | 77.1% | −15.9 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 59.3% | 75.2% | +15.9 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 34.0% | 49.7% | +15.7 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 32.5% | 19.0% | −13.4 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 14.6% | 4.9% | −9.7 |
