Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Londrina beat Coritiba with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 8 (before the first match) against those on September 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Londrina | Relegation | 41.3% | 16.0% | −25.3 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 59.6% | 37.0% | −22.6 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 33.0% | 55.1% | +22.1 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 18.2% | 37.8% | +19.5 |
| Sport | Promotion | 52.2% | 71.4% | +19.2 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 60.2% | 41.4% | −18.7 |
| São Bento | Relegation | 61.0% | 78.9% | +17.8 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 60.2% | 76.3% | +16.2 |
| CRB | Promotion | 13.5% | 29.5% | +16.1 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 33.7% | 18.3% | −15.4 |
