Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 15 (before the first match) against those on September 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Bento | Relegation | 78.9% | 50.8% | −28.0 |
| Sport | Promotion | 71.4% | 47.3% | −24.0 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 41.4% | 22.0% | −19.4 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 37.0% | 52.2% | +15.2 |
| Sport | Champion | 21.1% | 6.1% | −15.0 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 25.9% | 11.3% | −14.6 |
| Botafogo-SP | Promotion | 20.6% | 33.8% | +13.2 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 37.8% | 50.6% | +12.8 |
| Cuiabá | Promotion | 15.5% | 27.8% | +12.3 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 19.5% | 7.7% | −11.7 |