Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Oeste beat Guarani with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 31 (before the first match) against those on September 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oeste | Relegation | 60.9% | 33.7% | −27.2 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Champion | 70.5% | 50.0% | −20.5 |
| Sport | Promotion | 32.9% | 52.2% | +19.3 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 50.1% | 30.9% | −19.2 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 41.2% | 60.2% | +19.0 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 36.8% | 18.2% | −18.6 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 55.7% | 73.9% | +18.2 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 42.1% | 59.6% | +17.5 |
| CRB | Promotion | 30.4% | 13.5% | −16.9 |
| Cuiabá | Promotion | 35.2% | 18.3% | −16.8 |
