Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético-GO beat Vasco with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 6 (before the first match) against those on September 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 41.1% | 18.4% | −22.7 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 53.1% | 30.9% | −22.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 68.1% | 47.8% | −20.3 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 31.1% | 13.1% | −18.0 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 24.3% | 41.7% | +17.4 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 48.0% | 64.7% | +16.7 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 26.2% | 9.8% | −16.4 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 61.9% | 77.0% | +15.1 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 7.9% | 22.3% | +14.4 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 56.2% | 70.1% | +13.8 |
