Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Grêmio with a 17.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 30 (before the first match) against those on September 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport | Relegation | 60.7% | 27.9% | −32.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 29.6% | 55.3% | +25.7 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 25.6% | 44.6% | +19.0 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 19.4% | 37.1% | +17.7 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 16.3% | 33.7% | +17.4 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 9.7% | 27.1% | +17.4 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 28.3% | 11.6% | −16.6 |
| Ceará | Libertadores | 22.1% | 38.0% | +15.9 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 66.2% | 52.4% | −13.9 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 15.9% | 29.4% | +13.5 |
