Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 22.3% chance and Ceará beat Bahia with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 20 (before the first match) against those on August 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceará | Relegation | 88.1% | 41.7% | −46.4 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 94.3% | 51.5% | −42.9 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 12.1% | 53.9% | +41.8 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 60.1% | 22.5% | −37.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 4.5% | 33.8% | +29.3 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 30.2% | 59.3% | +29.1 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 16.3% | 43.9% | +27.6 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 12.6% | 39.0% | +26.4 |
| Sport | Relegation | 51.8% | 77.7% | +25.8 |
| Ceará | Sudamericana | 2.2% | 26.0% | +23.8 |
