Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 13 (before the first match) against those on December 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | Libertadores | 40.1% | 65.1% | +25.0 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 41.1% | 19.1% | −22.0 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Sudamericana | 67.5% | 47.6% | −19.9 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 22.1% | 40.4% | +18.3 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 63.8% | 45.9% | −17.9 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 36.7% | 54.4% | +17.8 |
| Fortaleza | Sudamericana | 48.3% | 31.6% | −16.7 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 29.0% | 43.9% | +14.9 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 45.2% | 59.6% | +14.4 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 26.6% | 12.4% | −14.1 |
