Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Palmeiras beat Atlético-GO with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 19 (before the first match) against those on December 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | Libertadores | 91.6% | 23.9% | −67.7 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 26.3% | 89.6% | +63.3 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 8.3% | 68.7% | +60.4 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 13.9% | 74.0% | +60.1 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 6.0% | 52.3% | +46.3 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 2.7% | 46.7% | +44.0 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 48.0% | 8.5% | −39.5 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 40.4% | 1.5% | −38.9 |
| Fortaleza | Libertadores | 39.4% | 1.4% | −38.0 |
| Internacional | Champion | 36.3% | 0.5% | −35.8 |
