Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat Vasco with a 23.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 4 (before the first match) against those on October 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Relegation | 69.8% | 35.1% | −34.6 |
| Botafogo | Relegation | 47.8% | 23.8% | −24.0 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 62.6% | 38.8% | −23.8 |
| Sport | Libertadores | 53.6% | 29.8% | −23.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 54.9% | 32.6% | −22.3 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 34.9% | 57.1% | +22.2 |
| Bahia | Sudamericana | 11.8% | 32.1% | +20.2 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 38.3% | 58.0% | +19.7 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 38.4% | 56.2% | +17.8 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 37.6% | 54.6% | +17.0 |
