Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 16 (before the first match) against those on September 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Sudamericana | 29.2% | 48.6% | +19.4 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 23.7% | 6.1% | −17.5 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 39.9% | 56.1% | +16.2 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 29.4% | 14.1% | −15.2 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 52.6% | 66.8% | +14.2 |
| Palmeiras | Champion | 34.6% | 45.5% | +11.0 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 27.4% | 17.2% | −10.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 73.6% | 63.8% | −9.8 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores Second Round | 16.4% | 26.2% | +9.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 16.3% | 6.7% | −9.5 |
