Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 9 home wins, no draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio beat Chapecoense with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 19 (before the first match) against those on September 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | Libertadores | 66.8% | 42.6% | −24.2 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 48.6% | 29.1% | −19.5 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 51.8% | 33.2% | −18.5 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 38.2% | 20.0% | −18.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 23.7% | 41.8% | +18.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 58.4% | 40.4% | −18.0 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 17.2% | 35.0% | +17.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 63.8% | 81.4% | +17.6 |
| Sport | Relegation | 30.4% | 13.8% | −16.6 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 12.4% | 28.5% | +16.1 |
