Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santa Cruz beat Athletico-PR with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 12 (before the first match) against those on September 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Relegation | 60.4% | 31.0% | −29.5 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 32.6% | 52.6% | +20.0 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 38.9% | 21.7% | −17.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 56.7% | 73.6% | +17.0 |
| Internacional | Relegation | 40.1% | 56.3% | +16.2 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 42.9% | 57.6% | +14.7 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 20.8% | 6.4% | −14.4 |
| Vitória | Sudamericana | 7.5% | 21.8% | +14.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 16.2% | 29.7% | +13.5 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 93.8% | 80.4% | −13.4 |
