Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Portuguesa with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 25 (before the first match) against those on July 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Náutico | Relegation | 69.2% | 55.1% | −14.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 55.5% | 42.8% | −12.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 27.8% | 40.2% | +12.4 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 46.4% | 57.3% | +10.8 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 14.4% | 24.0% | +9.6 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 30.8% | 22.7% | −8.1 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 37.4% | 29.4% | −8.0 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 14.6% | 21.7% | +7.0 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 42.4% | 49.0% | +6.6 |
| Internacional | Champion | 17.5% | 11.2% | −6.3 |
