Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat Atletico-MG with a 15.6% chance and Santos beat Internacional with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 28 (before the first match) against those on September 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 29.4% | 75.4% | +46.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 42.8% | 0.1% | −42.7 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 55.1% | 96.3% | +41.2 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 40.2% | 75.9% | +35.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 24.0% | 53.2% | +29.2 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores Second Round | 2.6% | 29.9% | +27.3 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 49.0% | 26.9% | −22.1 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 30.0% | 8.8% | −21.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 1.1% | 18.5% | +17.5 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 22.7% | 7.6% | −15.2 |
