Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Internacional beat Fluminense with a 20.0% chance, Atletico-MG beat Corinthians with a 23.6% chance, and Flamengo beat Vasco with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 11 (before the first match) against those on July 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 24.6% | 14.1% | −10.4 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 32.0% | 41.5% | +9.5 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 52.8% | 62.2% | +9.4 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 37.8% | 28.4% | −9.4 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 24.7% | 15.6% | −9.1 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 23.9% | 15.0% | −8.9 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 22.9% | 16.1% | −6.8 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 12.4% | 18.9% | +6.5 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 13.1% | 19.5% | +6.4 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 13.1% | 6.8% | −6.3 |
