Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat Internacional with a 15.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 30 (before the first match) against those on June 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Relegation | 34.5% | 20.1% | −14.4 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 41.5% | 28.2% | −13.3 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 41.0% | 52.6% | +11.6 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 32.2% | 43.2% | +11.0 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 17.4% | 25.7% | +8.3 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 15.3% | 20.8% | +5.5 |
| Internacional | Relegation | 4.7% | 10.1% | +5.4 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 11.6% | 6.3% | −5.3 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 10.3% | 5.7% | −4.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 17.9% | 13.5% | −4.4 |
