Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Ponte Preta beat Flamengo with a 18.0% chance and Vitória beat Náutico with a 14.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 26 (before the first match) against those on June 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Relegation | 63.1% | 19.1% | −43.9 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 29.3% | 51.1% | +21.8 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 41.0% | 21.3% | −19.7 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 11.5% | 28.1% | +16.5 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 35.2% | 51.1% | +15.9 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 22.8% | 38.1% | +15.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 62.7% | 51.0% | −11.7 |
| Santos | Relegation | 5.5% | 17.0% | +11.5 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 40.1% | 29.5% | −10.7 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 5.4% | 15.7% | +10.3 |
