Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat São Paulo with a 11.3% chance, Athletico-PR beat Ponte Preta with a 17.9% chance, and Náutico beat Flamengo with a 20.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 2 (before the first match) against those on June 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma | Relegation | 52.6% | 36.7% | −15.9 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 22.3% | 36.3% | +14.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 58.5% | 45.3% | −13.1 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 23.8% | 36.8% | +12.9 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 53.3% | 41.3% | −12.0 |
| Santos | Relegation | 12.0% | 23.0% | +11.0 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 37.4% | 27.8% | −9.6 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 41.8% | 32.5% | −9.4 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 6.3% | 13.3% | +7.1 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 28.1% | 35.1% | +7.0 |
