Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Vasco with a 20.2% chance and Athletico-PR beat Flamengo with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 15 (before the first match) against those on September 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Relegation | 24.3% | 40.4% | +16.2 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 39.1% | 52.6% | +13.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 64.9% | 77.0% | +12.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores Second Round | 31.5% | 43.1% | +11.6 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 13.9% | 24.6% | +10.6 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 26.8% | 16.4% | −10.4 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 43.4% | 33.3% | −10.1 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 26.7% | 16.7% | −10.0 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 20.4% | 11.0% | −9.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 7.8% | 17.0% | +9.3 |
