Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Corinthians with a 18.4% chance, São Paulo beat Vasco with a 23.1% chance, Atletico-MG beat Grêmio with a 22.2% chance, and Botafogo beat Santos with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 13 (before the first match) against those on September 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 53.2% | 69.6% | +16.4 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 34.8% | 20.1% | −14.7 |
| São Paulo | Relegation | 30.1% | 15.9% | −14.2 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 27.1% | 39.1% | +12.0 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 17.2% | 28.5% | +11.3 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 15.0% | 24.3% | +9.3 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 28.9% | 20.4% | −8.5 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores Second Round | 32.2% | 24.1% | −8.1 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 15.1% | 7.4% | −7.8 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 35.8% | 43.4% | +7.6 |
