Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Internacional beat São Paulo with a 22.2% chance and Coritiba beat Grêmio with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 21 (before the first match) against those on August 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 56.3% | 10.2% | −46.0 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 43.8% | 65.5% | +21.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 28.3% | 46.2% | +17.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 20.0% | 2.7% | −17.3 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 47.4% | 64.6% | +17.2 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 36.3% | 52.6% | +16.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 3.2% | 17.6% | +14.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores Second Round | 18.4% | 6.3% | −12.1 |
| São Paulo | Relegation | 18.0% | 29.2% | +11.2 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 15.4% | 26.1% | +10.7 |
