Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bahia beat São Paulo with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 7 (before the first match) against those on September 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 13.3% | 95.7% | +82.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 6.7% | 82.3% | +75.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 51.4% | <0.1% | −51.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 34.2% | 84.4% | +50.2 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 52.7% | 99.8% | +47.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores Second Round | 1.9% | 44.3% | +42.3 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 11.6% | 47.3% | +35.7 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 35.5% | 2.7% | −32.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 1.0% | 26.6% | +25.6 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 17.1% | 42.4% | +25.3 |
