Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Coritiba with a 23.2% chance and Flamengo beat Fluminense with a 20.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 9 (before the first match) against those on August 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 64.6% | 54.7% | −9.9 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 35.0% | 25.8% | −9.2 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 20.6% | 12.5% | −8.1 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 65.5% | 73.4% | +7.9 |
| São Paulo | Relegation | 29.2% | 36.9% | +7.7 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 11.9% | 19.1% | +7.2 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 9.6% | 16.6% | +6.9 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 13.1% | 19.3% | +6.2 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 6.2% | 12.2% | +5.9 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 14.0% | 8.2% | −5.8 |
