Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atletico-MG beat Figueirense with a 23.1% chance and Grêmio beat Cruzeiro with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 11 (before the first match) against those on July 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 25.3% | 13.1% | −12.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 23.5% | 33.9% | +10.5 |
| Sport | Relegation | 35.1% | 25.6% | −9.5 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 35.6% | 44.1% | +8.5 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 21.4% | 28.5% | +7.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 11.8% | 18.5% | +6.8 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 24.5% | 18.5% | −6.0 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 8.8% | 3.3% | −5.5 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 15.2% | 20.5% | +5.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 9.1% | 13.9% | +4.8 |
