Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Náutico beat Atlético-GO with a 20.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 1 (before the first match) against those on July 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Náutico | Relegation | 61.6% | 46.1% | −15.5 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 36.7% | 25.9% | −10.8 |
| Santos | Relegation | 25.9% | 16.5% | −9.4 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 67.7% | 76.8% | +9.1 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 29.8% | 36.9% | +7.1 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 43.8% | 50.5% | +6.7 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 30.7% | 36.8% | +6.1 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 15.8% | 21.9% | +6.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 19.3% | 25.3% | +5.9 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 39.2% | 34.0% | −5.2 |
