Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat Flamengo with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 15 (before the first match) against those on July 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Náutico | Relegation | 48.0% | 30.2% | −17.8 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 54.8% | 64.7% | +9.9 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 44.1% | 52.8% | +8.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 33.9% | 42.2% | +8.3 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 37.4% | 45.6% | +8.2 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 78.6% | 70.5% | −8.1 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 14.8% | 7.1% | −7.7 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 13.1% | 5.8% | −7.3 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 18.5% | 11.3% | −7.3 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 15.6% | 8.5% | −7.1 |
