Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Coritiba with a 16.2% chance, Atletico-MG beat Grêmio with a 21.7% chance, and Botafogo beat Corinthians with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 24 (before the first match) against those on July 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport | Relegation | 50.1% | 35.1% | −15.1 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 63.6% | 76.0% | +12.4 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 37.6% | 49.9% | +12.3 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 10.8% | 21.4% | +10.6 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 15.1% | 4.6% | −10.5 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 9.0% | 19.2% | +10.2 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 13.6% | 23.5% | +9.9 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores Second Round | 12.2% | 21.4% | +9.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 14.3% | 5.6% | −8.7 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 21.7% | 30.4% | +8.7 |
