Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Vasco with a 15.5% chance and Ponte Preta beat Botafogo with a 14.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 17 (before the first match) against those on June 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco | Libertadores | 53.7% | 36.4% | −17.4 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 48.8% | 32.7% | −16.1 |
| Vasco | Champion | 34.7% | 20.7% | −14.0 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 56.0% | 43.5% | −12.5 |
| Sport | Relegation | 38.6% | 50.1% | +11.5 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 52.5% | 63.6% | +11.1 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 26.6% | 37.6% | +11.1 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 42.6% | 52.4% | +9.8 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 17.6% | 26.9% | +9.4 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 13.6% | 21.7% | +8.1 |
