Round 5

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo beat Internacional with a 20.1% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on June 10 (before the first match) against those on June 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
NáuticoRelegation55.6%42.6%−13.0
Ponte PretaRelegation60.7%48.8%−11.9
Atlético-GORelegation40.6%52.5%+11.9
PortuguesaRelegation45.6%56.0%+10.4
InternacionalLibertadores27.4%17.6%−9.8
BahiaRelegation37.0%29.8%−7.2
FluminenseLibertadores19.6%26.6%+7.0
InternacionalChampion14.0%7.5%−6.5
BotafogoLibertadores9.1%15.3%+6.1
CoritibaRelegation15.9%10.0%−6.0
Home 42.6%
Draw 28.8%
Away 28.6%
Home 55.3%
Draw 24.5%
Away 20.1%
Home 65.7%
Draw 21.3%
Away 13.0%
Home 52.6%
Draw 25.4%
Away 21.9%
Home 57.7%
Draw 23.8%
Away 18.5%
Home 37.3%
Draw 30.8%
Away 31.9%
Home 56.1%
Draw 24.3%
Away 19.6%
Home 56.2%
Draw 24.2%
Away 19.5%
Home 36.2%
Draw 31.2%
Away 32.6%
Home 32.4%
Draw 31.0%
Away 36.6%