Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Atletico-MG beat Palmeiras with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 7 (before the first match) against those on June 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 62.6% | 45.6% | −17.0 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 68.8% | 55.6% | −13.2 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 29.3% | 40.6% | +11.3 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 46.4% | 56.5% | +10.0 |
| Vasco | Champion | 29.0% | 37.3% | +8.3 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 25.6% | 33.8% | +8.1 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 29.5% | 37.0% | +7.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 22.4% | 16.3% | −6.1 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 9.9% | 15.9% | +6.0 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 25.5% | 19.6% | −5.9 |
