Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio beat Atlético-GO with a 24.0% chance and Cruzeiro beat Botafogo with a 15.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 27 (before the first match) against those on June 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 36.1% | 22.4% | −13.7 |
| Sport | Relegation | 38.4% | 27.7% | −10.7 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 53.0% | 62.6% | +9.5 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 22.7% | 13.7% | −9.0 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 37.5% | 46.4% | +8.9 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 60.3% | 68.8% | +8.5 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 21.4% | 29.3% | +7.9 |
| Vasco | Champion | 21.4% | 29.0% | +7.6 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 16.9% | 9.9% | −6.9 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 18.7% | 25.6% | +6.9 |
