Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 5 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atletico-MG beat Botafogo with a 23.4% chance, Portuguesa beat Internacional with a 19.2% chance, and Atlético-GO beat Palmeiras with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 18 (before the first match) against those on November 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 33.2% | 3.0% | −30.2 |
| Sport | Relegation | 60.1% | 86.8% | +26.7 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 31.3% | 26.2% | −5.2 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 68.7% | 73.9% | +5.2 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 6.3% | 10.2% | +3.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 29.8% | 26.2% | −3.6 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores Second Round | 70.2% | 73.9% | +3.6 |
