Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Fluminense with a 16.9% chance and Corinthians beat Internacional with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 11 (before the first match) against those on November 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 14.7% | 33.2% | +18.5 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 45.5% | 29.8% | −15.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores Second Round | 54.5% | 70.2% | +15.7 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 54.0% | 68.7% | +14.7 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 46.0% | 31.3% | −14.7 |
| Sport | Relegation | 74.5% | 60.1% | −14.4 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 11.4% | 6.3% | −5.0 |
