Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat Fluminense with a 20.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 25 (before the first match) against those on December 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 73.9% | 0% | −73.8 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 26.2% | 100% | +73.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 26.2% | 100% | +73.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores Second Round | 73.9% | 0% | −73.8 |
| Sport | Relegation | 86.8% | 100% | +13.2 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 10.2% | 0% | −10.2 |
