Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Botafogo beat Coritiba with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 20 (before the first match) against those on May 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 20.4% | 12.7% | −7.7 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 15.1% | 22.7% | +7.6 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 30.6% | 37.5% | +6.9 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 10.5% | 16.9% | +6.4 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 18.5% | 12.4% | −6.1 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 47.0% | 53.0% | +6.0 |
| Grêmio | Relegation | 19.7% | 13.7% | −5.9 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 72.0% | 66.8% | −5.2 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 32.4% | 27.3% | −5.1 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 7.4% | 12.3% | +4.9 |
