Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Palmeiras beat Figueirense with a 22.1% chance and Portuguesa beat Santos with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 16 (before the first match) against those on September 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Relegation | 75.1% | 88.5% | +13.4 |
| Fluminense | Champion | 54.9% | 66.6% | +11.7 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 18.1% | 7.2% | −10.8 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 86.8% | 76.9% | −9.9 |
| Sport | Relegation | 76.4% | 66.5% | −9.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 33.2% | 23.7% | −9.6 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 15.8% | 22.8% | +7.1 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 10.1% | 3.9% | −6.2 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores Second Round | 24.7% | 30.8% | +6.1 |
| Atlético-GO | Relegation | 89.4% | 95.4% | +6.0 |
