Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 26 (before the first match) against those on September 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Champion | 71.3% | 84.7% | +13.4 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 76.4% | 65.4% | −11.0 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 39.7% | 30.6% | −9.2 |
| Sport | Relegation | 65.7% | 74.3% | +8.5 |
| Vasco | Libertadores Second Round | 42.2% | 50.6% | +8.4 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 17.5% | 10.4% | −7.1 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 13.2% | 6.1% | −7.1 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores Second Round | 51.9% | 58.3% | +6.4 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 10.2% | 4.3% | −5.9 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 12.9% | 7.1% | −5.8 |
